During the late decline of the market, individual stocks are still rising more and falling less. As long as there is no bad news in the evening, tomorrow's emotional side is expected to be more favorable to the market after it opens higher and goes lower today.2. On Wednesday, the market broke 3,400 points, and recently fell to 3,230 points, forming a double-top decline of 3,500 points, and then bottomed out at 3,230 points to form a double bottom, and walked out of the narrow range of 3,200 points and 3,500 points.However, the index itself belongs to the upward trend of shock. After the excessive rise increases the selling, although the short-term market has fallen back, it is difficult to change the upward pattern of shock.
My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.If today's rising market will bring the trend of stepping back to 3230 points for the later trend, then the high point of the market today and the high point of 3509 points in November are expected to form a double-top shape, which is the signal that the current round of rising at 3227 points is over.It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.
Today's market is too dramatic, indicating that it is normal for the stock market to open higher and fall back. More investors are divided on the further rise of the market.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide